Abandoned Baby Bottom on UNG Chart

The stock symbol UNG (United States Natural Gas Fund) is two candles into an abandoned baby pattern. Those of you that know this pattern, also know that it is very rare and very strong. Another possibility is the Morning Doji Star pattern, which is also a strong buy signal. Best of all, the doji was formed during a high volume trading day which means an upward gap would leave short sellers with losing trades. I hope this gaps way up for Tuesday so I can scoop it up.

ung-abandoned-baby-developing-candlesticks-6month-may232009

Look for this pattern to complete itself by Monday. Resistance and stop loss for this trade are at $13.70 be sure to consider the risk before opening the trade. Update for this trade will be on Tuesday at around 3:00pm.

What is an Abandoned Baby Bottom?

An abandoned baby is a three candle pattern which works out like this.

Day 1 - Down day during a downward trend.

Day 2- Large downward gap forms a doji or spinning top whose shadows don’t overlap with first or third day’s

Day 3- Large upward gap and strong bullish candle which pierces well into the first day’s territory.

Stop Loss is set at the second day’s close/open.

This pattern works because the doji signals a slowing of momentum for the bears. Then the next day ann aggressive upward gap and bullish candle destroy what is left of the downward trend. This sudden shock can give way to both short and long term reversals.

The Hanging Man (Japanese Candlestick Pattern)

Today’s Japanese candlestick pattern is called the “Hanging Man”. It is a reversal pattern that is often found at the peak of an upward trend.

hanging-manA hanging man must be found during an up trend in order to be meaningful. A hanging man is defined by a small real body, long lower wick, and short or nonexistent upper wick. The more defined these characteristics, the stronger the signal. As a general rule, the lower wick should be about twice as long as the body or longer. The hanging man also needs a confirmation signal, which is given if the next trading day closes below the real body of the hanging man candle. Volume is also very important for the hanging man. High volume on the hanging man day means that traders who bought that day will be stuck with losing trades if the signal is confirmed the next day. Your stop loss in this case can be set at the open or high of the hanging man. Therefore, the difference between the stop loss and the opening price of the trade is the possible loss. If you are not comfortable with this loss then you must either adjust your trades’ size or wait for a retrace that may or may not occur.

Here is a chart which belongs to UNG (United States Natural Gas Fund).

Can you spot the hanging man and the confirmation? What is the stop loss?

ung-hangingman-candlesticks-6month-may212009

Hanging man picture is credited to Steve Nison, author of Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques 2nd Ed.

How to Read Japanese Candlesticks

The most important thing to know about Japanese candlesticks is how to read them. Japanese Candlesticks usually come in two different colors. One color which represents an up day, and a second color which represents a down day. Most trading programs allow you to change the color of your bull and bear candles at will. Below are two different colored candles, in this example the black candle represents a down day and the white one an up day.

candlestick-basic-formation

As you can see in a black candle’s real body, the open is above the close. This means that the market opened higher than it closed in price. Traders call these candles bear candles, or bearish candles. The white candle is the exact opposite with the open way above the close representing a rise in price for that instrument. Both candles also have lines drawn above and below them, which represent the highs and lows for the trading period.

Now for an example of Japanese candlesticks in use. Examine this unlabeled chart and see if you can spot any patterns.

sample-chart-no-lables

All pictures in this post are credited to Steve Nison, author of Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques 2nd Ed.